Defining individual recurrence risk following surgery for high risk non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

Authors

null

Edwin J Abel

University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI

Edwin J Abel , Jay D. Raman , Daniel D Shapiro , Wilson Chan , Glenn O. Allen , Dattatraya Patil , Viraj A. Master

Organizations

University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, Penn State Health Milton S. Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, PA, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, Emory University Winship Cancer Institute, Atlanta, GA

Research Funding

Other

Background: Current models to estimate renal cell carcinoma (RCC) recurrence risk following surgery are derived from populations containing primarily low-risk patients. The objective of this study was to evaluate risk factors for recurrence among high risk non-metastatic RCC patients following attempted curative surgery. Methods: Data from 3 independent centers was analyzed for consecutive ≥ pT3a RCC patients without evidence of lymph node or distant metastases who were treated surgically from 2000-2016. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate associations of common clinical and pathological variables with recurrence risk. A risk model was constructed using independent predictors and recurrence risk was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: Of 771 patients, 190 (24.6%) had RCC recurrence following attempted curative surgery at median 10.2 months (IQR 4.4-20.7). Median overall follow-up interval was 21.4 months (IQR 6.6-53.5). After multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, significant associations with RCC recurrence were not identified with: age, gender, race, systemic symptoms, local symptoms, pT stage, perinephric fat invasion, tumor thrombus, sinus fat invasion, serum hemoglobin, or serum albumin. Independent predictors included grade 4 HR 3.27 (95% CI 2.17, 4.92); tumor diameter > 7cm HR 1.70 (95% CI 1.18, 2.45), tumor necrosis HR 1.47 (95% CI 1.06, 2.02), and sarcomatoid/ rhabdoid features HR 1.86 (95% CI 1.12, 3.09) An unweighted risk model was created by assigning one point for each independent predictor. Estimated 3-year recurrence risk was 14%, 25%, 40%, 49%, and 69% for patients with 0,1,2,3 and 4 risk factors (p < 0.001) respectively. Conclusions: Independent predictors of recurrence for high risk non-metastatic RCC include: tumor diameter, necrosis, nuclear grade 4, and sarcomatoid/ rhabdoid features. This model may be used to estimate individual risk in RCC adjuvant therapy clinical trials.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2018 Genitourinary Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session C: Renal Cell Cancer

Track

Renal Cell Cancer

Sub Track

Renal Cell Cancer

Citation

J Clin Oncol 36, 2018 (suppl 6S; abstr 664)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2018.36.6_suppl.664

Abstract #

664

Poster Bd #

J15

Abstract Disclosures

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