Development and validation of genomic signature to predict ADT treatment failure.

Authors

null

Jeffrey Karnes

Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN

Jeffrey Karnes , Hussam Al-Deen Ashab , Bruce J. Trock , Ashley Ross , Harrison Tsai , Jeffrey J. Tosoian , Mohammed Alshalalfa , Voleak Choeurng , Kasra Yousefi , Zaid Haddad , Firas Abdollah , Eric A. Klein , Paul L. Nguyen , Felix Yi-Chung Feng , Adam Dicker , Robert Benjamin Den , Elai Davicioni , Tamara L. Lotan , Edward M. Schaeffer

Organizations

Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, GenomeDx Biosciences, Inc., Vancouver, BC, Canada, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, John Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, Vattikuti Urology Institute, Detroit, MI, Cleveland Clinic Glickman Urological and Kidney Institute, Cleveland, OH, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, Kimmel Cancer Center, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA, Sidney Kimmel Medical College of Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA, Department of Pathology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company

Background: Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is one of the main treatment options for locally advanced, recurrent and metastatic prostate cancer. Neuroendocrine prostate cancer (NEPC) is inherently less sensitive to ADT. NEPC can be observed de novo (e.g., small cell prostate cancer) but more commonly arises after exposure to ADT. In some patients, even short exposure to ADT may ‘unmask’ a NEPC phenotype. We hypothesized that a gene expression signature of NEPC when measured in primary tumor specimens (RP) may be useful for predicting patients with innate resistance to ADT. Methods: Expression profiles of 786 PCa patients treated with RP were obtained from the Decipher GRID database. These were split into training (n=360) and validation (n=426) sets and stratified by the receipt of adjuvant ADT (n=222) or no adjuvant ADT (n=564). A literature review of ADT resistance and neuroendocrine genes identified 1,632 genes as candidates. This set was further filtered, using logistic regression and forward feature selection to select a genomic ADT resistance signature (ARS). ARS was trained using a generalized linear model with lasso regularization. Survival c-index, Kaplan Meier and Cox regression analysis was used to compare survival differences between treated and untreated patients with high and low ARS scores (defined by median split). Results: In validation cohorts, the ARS was predictive of metastasis in cohorts receiving adjuvant ADT (10-year metastasis free survival c-index of 0.64 (95% CI 0.55-0.71) as compared to 0.50 (95% CI 0.36-0.63) in patients not treated with ADT). Among ADT treated patients, those with low ARS scores had a 10 year MFS of 86%, versus 68% in those with high ARS scores (p=0.03). In multivariable analysis adjusting for confounding variableswith metastasis as an endpoint, ARS validated with a significant interaction with ADT treatment (p=0.02) which demonstrates ARS’s adjuvant ADT predictive capability. Conclusions: An ADT resistance signature validated as a predictive biomarker with a significant interaction term for predicting metastasis after hormonal treatment. ARS may allow for identification of patients that may be optimal candidates for trials of novel systemic agents

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2016 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Discussion Session

Session Title

Genitourinary (Prostate) Cancer

Track

Genitourinary Cancer—Prostate, Testicular, and Penile

Sub Track

Prostate Cancer - Advanced Disease

Citation

J Clin Oncol 34, 2016 (suppl; abstr 5018)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2016.34.15_suppl.5018

Abstract #

5018

Poster Bd #

275

Abstract Disclosures

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