Validation of the Decipher prostate cancer classifier for predicting 10-year postoperative metastasis from analysis of diagnostic needle biopsy specimens.

Authors

null

Cristina Magi-Galluzzi

Pathology and Laboratory Medicine Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH

Cristina Magi-Galluzzi , Kasra Yousefi , Zaid Haddad , Beatrix Palmer-Aronsten , Lucia L.C. Lam , Christine Buerki , Jianbo Li , Michael W. Kattan , Andrew J. Stephenson , Elai Davicioni , Eric A. Klein

Organizations

Pathology and Laboratory Medicine Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, GenomeDx Biosciences, Inc., Vancouver, BC, Canada, Quantitative Health Sciences, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, Cleveland Clinic Glickman Urological and Kidney Institute, Cleveland, OH, Glickman Urological and Kidney Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH

Research Funding

No funding sources reported

Background: Accurate riskstratification after diagnosis of prostate cancer (PCa) is key to optimal treatment decision-making. Decipher is an extensively validated genomic classifier of metastasis after radical prostatectomy (RP). Here, we evaluate its ability to predict metastasis from analysis of prostate needle biopsy diagnostic tumor tissue specimens in a cohort of intermediate risk PCa patients treated with RP. Methods: Fifty-seven patients with available diagnostic biopsy specimens were identified from a previously reported post-RP validation study of Decipher in a cohort of 169 patients treated at Cleveland Clinic. The core with at least 1mm tumor of the highest Gleason grade was sampled and subjected to whole transcriptome analysis. Decipher was calculated based on a locked random forest model. Cox multivariable (MVA) proportional hazards model and survival c-index were used to evaluate the performance of Decipher. Results: 61% of patients had biopsy Gleason score 6 and 67% of patients had NCCN intermediate risk disease. With a median 8 years follow up, 8 patients metastasized and 3 of these patients died of PCa. Decipher had a c-index of 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58-0.95) compared to 0.58 (95% CI, 0.18-0.91) for biopsy Gleason score and 0.57 (0.57; 95% CI, 0.23-0.89) for preoperative PSA at 10 years post-RP for prediction of metastasis. A combined model consisting of Decipher, preoperative PSA, and Gleason score had a c-index of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.68-0.96). On MVA, Decipher was the only significant predictor of metastasis when adjusting for age, preoperative PSA and biopsy Gleason score (Decipher hazard ratio per 10% increase: 1.72; 95% CI, 1.04–2.83; P = 0.02). Conclusions: Decipher was able to predict metastatic outcome from diagnostic biopsy specimens in a cohort of primarily intermediate risk men treated with RP. This additional genomic information may help identify patients who may not be optimal candidates for active surveillance and better identify appropriate first line therapy for men with intermediate risk disease.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2016 Genitourinary Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session A: Prostate Cancer

Track

Prostate Cancer,Prostate Cancer

Sub Track

Prostate Cancer - Localized Disease

Citation

J Clin Oncol 34, 2016 (suppl 2S; abstr 59)

DOI

10.1200/jco.2016.34.2_suppl.59

Abstract #

59

Poster Bd #

C19

Abstract Disclosures